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VALENCIANO |

Hace 24h

I'm trying to understand the logic of the game here
It's not 0.4xg any more?
#match?mid=6514601
who can explain how it is that with 3 chances and 1 goal I have 0.2xg and that my opponent with just one chance has 0.8xg so ??
I just came to ask a question vfiens and so I ask those who will be answering me because I do not understand too much.


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Skyred |

Hace 24h

You can score with 0.0001 xg even...


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VALENCIANO |

Hace 24h

ok as said i just came to ask a question here thank you president


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Guilain |

Hace 23h

VALENCIANO: je cherche a comprend la logique du jeu la
ca a changer un but c'est plus 0.4xg??
#match?mid=6514601
qui peux expliquer comme ca se fait avec 3 occasion et 1buts j'ai 0.2xg et que mon adverse avec juste un occasion a 0.8xg donc ??
je viens juste poser un question les vfiens et donc je demande a ceux qui sera me repondre car je pige pas trop la

You're ahead of schedule, normally you send this to J1 every season.


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VALENCIANO |

Hace 23h

Guilain: T’es en avance, normalement t’envoie ça en J1 chaque saison.

no and it's a simple question if it bothers me that I come to ask a question on the vforum, we can delete the post without worries


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Nicularo |

Hace 23h

Well, it's called football and probability. Even though I doubt you'll want to make the effort to understand, I'm going to try and explain it to you anyway.

In football, an opportunity doesn't have a defined number of xG, except for a penalty (about 0.8 xG) but otherwise it's calculated according to the probability of scoring in a given situation.

For example, a free-kick from 35 metres has very little chance of going in, so it must be at around 0.02 xG more or less: you have to understand that out of 100 free-kicks from that distance, only 2 will go in. It's an opportunity, though, and on VF it would be shown in the match summary even if it's only worth 0.02 xG.

For another example, a corner with a header from a player close to the opponent's goal could be worth around 0.2 xG if he has an interesting chance to score. 1 time out of 5 it will end up in the back of the net according to the statistics.

Now on VF, imagine that you have 5 chances that earn you 0.02 xG each, and that your opponent has a chance that earns 0.2 xG, well despite your superior number of chances, he'll get double your xG.

Basically, there's no fixed xG value for an opportunity. It all depends on the probability of scoring. So the argument of "I have 4 chances, he only has one, but he has more xG than me, so it's a bug" doesn't make any sense...


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Blagoje Vidinic |

Hace 23h

Added to this is the fact that not all the chances that create xGs are systematically mentioned in the match summary.


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VALENCIANO |

Hace 23h

OK, I understand, but how much does a goal currently represent for the mdm?


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Chelios |

Hace 23h

A goal depends on the quality of the opportunity that led to the goal - it's the same explanation as the messages above ... A goal from a penalty was an XG of 0.75, but a goal from a shot from midfield would still be an XG of 0.000001.


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VALENCIANO |

Hace 22h

ok thanks for the explanation subject to close


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Drosko |

Hace 10h

Valenciano, don't try to understand.
I'm dead slow on the game. I'm keeping the account and my team in case things change one day (even though I've said many times that I'd stop, but it's complicated to let go of everything^^).
NG99 29 year olds who don't even leave for 25M, new managers who make NG85 or even 90 teams in a week, a MdM who makes you a match with 20 chances, xg 5 vs 0 and 0-0 to finish, unregulated transfers, a lack of new players, in short the list is long.
There's no point in making any more posts about this MdM who has a serious problem. There are just the defenders of the system who will tell you that having random results on a regular basis is normal.
You can make a 9-0 or a 0-0 with the same xG... It happens in real football, but here on VF, it's unfortunately too recurrent. Your xG and xGa at the end of the season are very often consistent, but to get there you've been on a rollercoaster ride in terms of results.


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