How on earth am I losing 2–0 when I’m dominating?

What sort of joke is this now?
What’s the problem? Is there something I’m missing?
#match?mid=6958969&stats

Seriously, 3-0 – what the hell is this mess?

He outperforms you three times as much in central defence at home as you do in central attack – I reckon that’s where it comes from, as the mdm experts will tell you

This match is a right old mess, Engine nimp

It’s just rubbish 🫩

And anyway, as I always say, why is it that when I’m in ‘normal’ mode, I’m more likely to get booked?
I switch to ‘normal’ mode and get booked; I switch to ‘aggressive’ or even ‘very aggressive’ mode, and the risk is much lower.
The thing is, in that case, it doesn’t make any sense at all.

So tell me,
what are the other indicators?
That way I’ll be a bit smarter from now on

It’s precisely because I play and test things out that I’ve come to realise I’m far more likely to get a red card when playing in ‘Normal’ mode than in other modes.
What I can’t figure out, though, is why. And friendly matches don’t tell me that. That’s the problem.

Actually, it makes sense when you think about it in football terms: if you play aggressively, you get fewer cards

Oh, really? 😅
Right, got it

Just a quick message

Il ne faut pas chercher yen a qui comprennent et moi je fais partie de ceux qui ne trouve pas le secret du mdm

Maybe it’s just me, but I really don’t understand it at all. Maybe it’s just that I don’t know what I’m talking about, but I honestly find the match completely illogical – or maybe I’m just rubbish; I don’t know. For me, there’s been a big problem with this for quite some time now.

#match?mid=6965525

To achieve 2.47xG whilst having just 15–20 per cent possession throughout the match is unprecedented. But it must be a coincidence.

#match?mid=6928815 It was a peculiar match because, looking at the xG figures from the outside, you might think it was evenly matched, whereas my opponent was AFK and I pounded the centre for 65 minutes

The league’s MDM is a disaster...

Actually, there’s clearly a big problem...

Four league matches, four wins. Actually, that’s not normal – it’s not like me at all!

Yes, there are loads like that
It’s not really a bug at this stage
Is the AI being used for the MDM?

Some of the matches over the last few days seem quite ‘strange’, whilst others do not at all – to a rather surprising extent.

It’s hard to draw any conclusions just yet; we’ll have to see if the trend continues.

Could it be linked to the various updates? It seems to me, though, that these updates are more to do with the displays – but who knows? Or perhaps they’re just simple coincidences. That can happen.

We’d noticed some changes at the start of the season, with huge slumps lasting several tens of minutes for no apparent reason, and, above all, rather poor responsiveness from the MDM. In other words, completely botched spot actions weren’t necessarily penalised. This was particularly frustrating in closely contested matches, where it sometimes takes 3–4 plays to put the opposition in a very unfavourable position.

But what’s been happening over the last two days is unprecedented, to say the least.

The peculiar thing is that you get the sense it’s not every match where you see things that are completely at odds with the past.
But when it is inconsistent, there’s no pretending otherwise. Matches with 0.0X XG in extremely open formations.

The basic principle, as I see it – and one that’s pretty much universal – is when someone blocks the flanks in defence and then plays as a ‘wing attacker’.
If that player gets beaten down the middle, without gaining any ground against the opposition’s defence, we’ll say, “Wow, massive danger”.

This formation lasted 25 minutes.

The result of this formation: 0 xG vs 0.13 for Demi

I’m not judging the result, but this formation is the ABCs of VF; it’s supposed to be punishing.
Failing to score is one thing;
not creating any chances for 1, 2, 3 or 5 minutes – that happens.

But 25 minutes of this and seeing your opponent rewarded – for me, that’s a real first.

Something isn’t quite right.

As for my league match, there were no chances at all for either side – something I’ve never seen before – and yet the xG was very low, even though I completely dominated the game. I just can’t make sense of it.

#match?mid=6927878

I’m doing my bit… My opponent only played for the last 15 minutes… the rest of the time he was AFK, and yet nothing came of it…

Before Monday’s update, there was a way to view xG figures during a match following a foul, chance or goal using the browser’s ‘Inspect’ tool:

Here we can see the xG figures for Team 1 in match ID 6940763 at the time of the chance at 60’23

Since Monday’s update, this xG line no longer appears in the browser (for the same chance)

Is this a bug that coincides with the chance generator behaving strangely? Or is it a deliberate removal by Aymeric that doesn’t affect the MDM?

Is it possible to have shares that are so close together?

Are we going to decide the cup finals and semi-finals by tossing a coin tonight? 😟
A problem with xG generation (which is completely random in the cases reported) has nothing to do with the result being rigged – something we regularly receive complaints about…
We’ve been tracking our matches since the start of the season to get to this point, and the tactical optimisation on the pitch is no longer reflected at all in the xG figures, on the eve of these important matches…
Losing a match with 3 xG against 0.5 xG is just bad luck
The xG problem is a bug in the mdm

I can confirm this: for example, in my league match yesterday, I scored a goal with the stats breakdown shown below (I didn’t change anything until the 65th minute).
Scoring in itself isn’t the problem, even if it was supposed to be very, very, very, very unlikely.

The issue here is that in the data export, it recorded the maximum xG

I’ve checked several other similar cases and the result is the same.

It’s a real shame to sacrifice the game’s core mechanics – which have become incomprehensible and demotivating – in favour of graphical improvements and/or fiddling about with the in-game shop.
The game is dying, and Aymeric isn’t listening to the objective and realistic coaches – please do something.

I’m relieved to see that other members are experiencing the same change in the MDM’s behaviour. I’ve only noticed it for the past week, but it’s been enough to leave me completely confused and make me question my interest in the game. Well, there you go.
Let’s hope it changes.

As for me, I’ve only just realised it this week

Ever since the bugs, I’ve been noticing loads of strange things with MDM as well. Like yesterday – zero chances, even though I was clearly dominating certain areas in midfield and in attack, whilst my opponent, who was dominating less, still managed to create chances.
Or take that match two days ago. Not a single chance in 70 minutes, despite completely dominating the flanks.

It’s “pleasing” to see that this feeling is shared by many managers. For the past three days, I’ve noticed significant inconsistencies between the actual match statistics by zone and the distribution of xG versus the final result. For the past few days, I’ve had the feeling that chances/xG and the resulting goals are being distributed more randomly, to the detriment of the statistical dynamics of the game at the moment they occur.

In ‘normal’ times, without focusing on the result but solely on the statistics, a match with 70/30 per cent possession, where one side clearly dominated certain zones and the opposition’s xG was very low, would logically yield between 1.5 and 3 xG for one side, compared with less than 0.5 xG for the opposition. I see the same match dynamics, but the xG output is completely different, with a final ratio that deviates very sharply from the dynamics experienced during the match.
To illustrate my point, I’ve noted numerous matches along the same lines, but I’m posting this one from two days ago: I still don’t understand the xG figures for this match based on the statistics recorded over 1 hour 30 minutes.
#match?mid=6925366&stats&min=50

Magpie are in the Champions League final.
That’s enough to prove that the MDM is bugged.

😂😂😂😂

#match?mid=6966498&stats
Right, here’s my little contribution :D
Three chances in 20 minutes, then nothing for 20 minutes... Just look at the stats – I usually end up on 3 or 4 xG, but here I don’t even have one.

Yes, it’s true that Magpie reaching the final is clearly the ultimate proof that the mdm is completely bugged, but in a masterful way – in other words, world-class xD

I couldn’t have put it better myself!

I was actually wondering the same thing when I saw the club’s news updates, where they talk about a ‘run’.
Luckily, the charade will come to an end tonight, and we can get back to business as usual!
By the way, good luck to Lecastor in their match, even if that’s not the point here.

Ouais il y a clairement une problématique, mon dernier IE j'avais des couloirs tout le match avec des ratios 3/1 et je n'ai eu qu'une occasion, tandis que lui a eu 2 occasions max xG avec des ratios 1/3, il n'a pas marquer, mais ce match il a eu 5x les xG que j'ai eu quand j'aurais du avoir 3 de xG

Just looking at the expected goals (xG) figures for BBQ and LR confirms that something’s not quite right.
A 0–0 draw can happen, but if anyone followed the match, the xG figures should have been something like 0.5 to 1.9 or thereabouts.
Here, it looks as though BBQ were closer to winning than the other way round.