Hello.
I've just played a match and I don't understand how the MDM works.
I lost 1-0. No worries, I accept the defeat and congratulations to my opponent, who must know more about MDM than I do.
Overall, in terms of possession, it was balanced. Here are a few screenshots taken during the match which give a general idea of how it went.
What I don't understand is my XG, which is 0.13
I had 0 chances!

Could someone explain to me exactly how that works? Because at this rate I'm never going to score and I might as well sell all my players.

Thank you in advance for your help.

Stop worrying about XGs, you'll live better :) :) :)

As unrepresentative in this game as in real life

Yesterday
PSG 5 (for 0,87 XG) - Chelsea 2 (for 1,53 XG)
and I don't feel that the score was stolen and that Chelsea deserved to score twice as many goals as PSG

Yes, but this is a game. Beyond the xg I want to understand why I had 0 opportunities. 🤣

leniav: Oui mais là on est sur un jeu. Au delà de l'xg je veux comprendre pourquoi je n'ai eu 0 occasion. 🤣

you must have made some mistakes, which are included in the xg calculation

seblelionnais: tu as du faire des fautes, qui rentrent dans le calcul de la xg

Errors. Errors are not included in the calculation.

There's an opportunity at the end of the match, that's where the 0.13 xG comes from.

And to analyse PSG's goals yesterday, the victory was far from stolen but...

Barcola will make the same catch on the 1-0 100 times, 75 times it will be deflected by a defender, 15 times it will go over and maybe, at most 10 times inside so 0.10 xG.

Dembéle on the counter-attack, in my opinion, a shot like that must be close to 0.25 xG.

Vitinha's goal, the position of the goalkeeper, is not normally taken into account in the calculation, so we end up with a maximum of 0.05, although in reality, a lob without a goalkeeper has a better chance of succeeding than 5 times out of 100.

Kvara's 1st, a perfect curling shot, will go in at least 5 times out of 100 and the last goal, in my opinion, one time out of 4. So we're at 0.70 xG for 5 goals, an evening of success or immeasurable talent.

Take the "SECOND POTEAAAAAAAAAAU PAVARD" goal again, he can try it 99 times, it's not certain that he'll succeed once. So, 0.01 xG :)

Mistakes do count towards xG.

Radio: Erreur, les fautes rentrent bien dans le calcul des xG.

No.

Blagoje Vidinic: Non.

Just to understand, how come my opponent has xGs but no chances?
#match?mid=6711211

Because not all xGs result in an opportunity appearing on screen; Aymeric explained this when the case was mentioned previously.

Blagoje Vidinic: Parce que tous les xG ne donnent pas lieu à l'apparition d'une occasion à l'écran ; Aymeric l'a expliqué lorsque le cas a déjà été évoqué.

J'ai aussi des xG sans occasion...
#match?mid=6718866&score

I hope not too much against me 😁😁😁

Blagoje Vidinic: Non.

My bad 🙏

I thought I read that on the forum...
So a foul committed doesn't get the opponent any xG?

Absolutely not.

Blagoje Vidinic: Parce que tous les xG ne donnent pas lieu à l'apparition d'une occasion à l'écran ; Aymeric l'a expliqué lorsque le cas a déjà été évoqué.

J'ai aussi des xG sans occasion...
#match?mid=6718866&score

Okay, thanks 😉

Radio: Au temps pour moi 🙏

Il m'avait semblé l'avoir lu sur le forum...
Donc une faute commise ne procure aucun xG à l'adversaire ?

You read a lot of rubbish on the forum. The xg on VF is not calculated like a "real" xg, it increases steadily, minute by minute, and is displayed all at once. You could see this when it was displayed during matches.

Demi-cerveau: On lit beaucoup de conneries sur le forum. La xg sur VF n'est pas calculée comme une xg "réelle", elle augmente de manière régulière, minute par minute, et l'affichage se fait lui d'un coup. On s'en rendait bien compte quand elle était affichée en cours de matchs.

In addition, you can see how the xGs changed over the course of the match (at least with each opportunity/goal (and foul, I think)) here:

Thank you very much for the clarification 🙏

PRAVDA REVELATION :
we've cracked the VF algorithm ...
image](https://i.imgur.com/ivPjs6a.gif)... I'm waiting for Demi to finish her analysis and I'll give you a summary! 😛